General Outlook
短期:溫和看漲(RSI gap +ve) + (超買再轉上)
長期:看漲 - > 2010年下半年
Trade
HSCE future BUY 1 @ 11450
SELL if 0819 天能動力 < 2.9
SELL 0751 創維數碼 <= 4.3
Watch List
1. 3988 中國銀行: Sell @ $5.8
2. 8058 : Sell @ $19.7
3. 861 神州數碼 : Sell @ $18
The retirement fund trading journal Objective : capital growth 10X in 10 years from 2008-2018
Monday, August 30, 2010
Sunday, August 29, 2010
Thursday, August 26, 2010
Trading Strategy 27-8-2010
General Outlook
短期:溫和看漲(RSI gap +ve) + (超買再轉上)
長期:看漲 - > 2010年下半年
長期:看漲 - > 2010年下半年
Trade
HSCE future HOLD for Over-Buy signal
買 : 0303 (偉易達)
IF 0667 瀚宇博德 NOT rebound then SELL
IF 1812 晨鳴紙業
NOT rebound then SELL
Watch List
1. 3988 中國銀行: Sell @ $5.8
2. 8058 : Sell @ $19.7
3. 861 神州數碼 : Sell @ $18
Wednesday, August 25, 2010
Sunday, August 22, 2010
交易策略 23-8-2010
General Outlook
短期:溫和看漲(RSI gap +ve) + (超買再轉上)
長期:看漲 - > 2010年下半年
長期:看漲 - > 2010年下半年
Trade
HSCE future 賣 2 @ 11957 Sell 2 @ 12069
技術
SWITCH : 1174 -> 買 : 0303 (偉易達)
Watch List
1. 3988 中國銀行: Sell @ $5.8
2. 8058 : Sell @ $19.7
3. 861 神州數碼 : Sell @ $18
人民幣 : 升值 3%-6% in 2010
黃金 : 所有貨幣貶值,黃金和商品上漲
高增長行業 : 藥物 ; 天然氣
觀察名單
2318 中國平安: 富通復甦;整合商業模式和增長潛力(增長@37%, PEG = 0.34)
8058 羅欣藥業 : 高增長行業, PE
比工業
低,
過去3年
快速增長
751 創維數碼 :
技術上超賣(短期投機),
現價5.43 明財年預測市盈率6倍多及4倍多水平
Sell @ $9.8
313 華潤水泥 :
週期性股票, 洪水在中國 , Low PE (6.14)
1387 人和商業 : 地下商場;領導市盈率@6.9
2343 太平洋航運 : 週期性股票穩定的復甦; 良好的管理 (首季船租增20%)
868 信義玻璃: 週期性商品股票(汽車及建造業)(主席回購 $5.03) Rapid Growth
861 神州數碼 : 領先的科技股
1968 匹克體育 : 消費者運動股;高增長行業; (PE @ 14)
3988 中國銀行: 便宜的銀行股 P/B =1.5, 利率上升->毛利提高
533 金利來集團 : 便宜的消費股P/E 10.5
992 聯想集團 : 週期性技術股票(Gartner 估計20% up in 2010)
1812 晨鳴紙業 : low PE @ 15.6 (vs 26) low PB @ 0.9 (vs 3.0)
2168 盈德氣體 : 超高增長行業
107 四川成渝高速公路 : PE @12 Vs 15 強勁增長@40%->20%
Thursday, August 19, 2010
Trading Strategy 19-8-2010
Short Term : mild bullish
(RSI gap +ve) (Over-Buy -ve)
Long Term : bullish -> 2H 2010
Trade
HSCE future SELL 2 @ 11997 Sell 2 @ 12089
SWITCH : 0587 (華瀚生物製藥) Switch to 0358 (江西銅業)
BUY : 0303 (偉易達)
Watch List
1. 3988 中國銀行: Sell @ $5.8
2. 8058 : Sell @ $19.7
3. 861 神州數碼 : Sell @ $18
Tuesday, August 17, 2010
Trading Strategy 18-8-2010
Short Term : mild bullish
(RSI gap +ve) (Over-Buy -ve)
Long Term : bullish -> 2H 2010
Trade
BUY : 0179 (德昌電機控股)
HSCE future BUY 2 @ 116503 Sell 2 @ 11987
SELL
SELL : 0045 (大酒店) to Switch
Watch List
1. 3988 中國銀行: Sell @ $5.8
2. 8058 : Sell @ $19.7
3. 861 神州數碼 : Sell @ $18
Sunday, August 15, 2010
Trading Strategy 16-8-2010
Short Term : mild bullish
(RSI gap +ve) (Over-Buy -ve)
Long Term : bullish -> 2H 2010
Trade
SELL ALL : 0045 (大酒店)
HSCE future Sell 2X2 @ 11800; 12000
BUY : 2343 (太平洋航運) for RSI gap
BUY : 0667 (瀚宇博德) for RSI gap
Watch List
1. 3988 中國銀行: Sell @ $5.8
2. 8058 : Sell @ $19.7
3. 861 神州數碼 : Sell @ $18
Thursday, August 12, 2010
Trading Strategy 12-8-2010
Bullish -> 2H 2010
HSCE future Sell 2X2 @ 12253; 12351
SELL 8058 (羅欣藥業) @12.5
Watch List
1. 3988 中國銀行: Sell @ $5.8
2. 8058 : Sell @ $19.7
3. 861 神州數碼 : Sell @ $18
Tuesday, August 10, 2010
Trading Strategy 11-8-2010
1-year Outlook : Bullish (Start of Bull 2)
HSCE future Sell 2X2 @ 12253; 12351
SELL 8058 (羅欣藥業) @12.5
SELL 2600 (中國鋁業) @7.2
BUY 0868 (信義玻璃) Settlement of the lawsuit
Watch List
1. 3988 中國銀行: Sell @ $5.8
2. 8058 : Sell @ $19.7
3. 861 神州數碼 : Sell @ $18
Monday, August 9, 2010
Trading Strategy 10-8-2010
1-year Outlook : Bullish (Start of Bull 2)
HSCE future Sell 2X2 @ 12453; 12551
SWITCH 0861(神州數碼) -> 1387(人和商業)
SELL 8058 (羅欣藥業) @12.5
SELL 2600 (中國鋁業) @7.2
Watch List
1. 3988 中國銀行: Sell @ $5.8
2. 8058 : Sell @ $19.7
3. 861 神州數碼 : Sell @ $18
Sunday, August 8, 2010
Trading Strategy 9-8-2010
1-year Outlook : Bullish (Start of Bull 2)
HSCE future Sell 2X2 @ 12363; 12473
0861(神州數碼) -> 1387(人和商業)
Watch List
1. 3988 中國銀行: Sell @ $5.8
2. 8058 : Sell @ $19.7
3. 861 神州數碼 : Sell @ $18
Tuesday, August 3, 2010
Trading Strategy 4-8-2010
1-year Outlook : Bullish (Start of Bull 2)
HSCE future Sell 2X2 @ 12303; 12373
8058(羅欣藥業) -> 2600(中國鋁業)
0861(神州數碼) -> 1387(人和商業)
Watch List
1. 3988 中國銀行: Sell @ $5.8
2. 8058 : Sell @ $19.7
3. 861 神州數碼 : Sell at $15
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