Weekly Trading Strategy : 28- 09-2009

view :
Bullish with HSI target 24,000 in 2009
US floods with money, China follows, so is the world !
Hot money double long HK market;
China's hot money starts pouring it. very bullish to HK asset market.
Expectation (Deflation -> Inflation) : Gold hits USD2,000 in 2011

Strategy
2009 : panic market -> focus on Beta.
2010 : normal market -> focus on Alpha.
Long H-share, gold and commodity, Short USD/HKD.
Speculate hot money target. Hong Kong real estate market.
Treynor-Black Model (anchor 2828 : ETF H-share) with portfolio monthly balancing

Trade Strategy
LONG 670 東航 speculate 2010 Expo

Focus
83 : 信和 for its focus on luxury apartment and its land reserves.
868 :commodity for auto industry.
2009/09/27 Chairman buy back at $5.03
2899, 1818 :explosion of Gold price in 2010 when inflation comes.
272 : P/B @1.2 vs industrial avg 2.0+
2318 : huge growth potential.
2343 : cyclical stock - steady for recovery in 2010.
2837 : Taiwan stock market from China's policy.

Weekly Trading Strategy : 21- 09-2009

View :
Bullish with HSI target 24,000 in 2009
US floods with money, China follows, so is the world !
Hot money double long HK market;
China's hot money starts pouring it. very bullish to HK asset market.
Expectation (Deflation -> Inflation) : Gold hits USD2,000 in 2011

Strategy
2009 : panic market -> focus on Beta.
2010 : normal market -> focus on Alpha.
Long H-share, gold and commodity, Short USD/HKD.
Speculate hot money target. Hong Kong real estate market.
Treynor-Black Model (anchor 2828 : ETF H-share) with portfolio monthly balancing

Trade Strategy
LONG 670 東航 speculate 2010 Expo
LONG 83 信和 for its focus on luxury apartment and its land reserves.
SWAP 2899 -> 1818, 2837

Focus
868 :commodity for auto industry.
2899, 1818 :explosion of Gold price in 2010 when inflation comes.
272 : appreciation of real estate.
2318 : huge growth potential.
2343 : cyclical stock - steady for recovery in 2010.
2837 : Taiwan stock market from China's policy.

Weekly Trading Strategy : 14- 09-2009

View :
Bullish with HSI target 24,000 in 2009
US floods with money, China follows so is the world !
Hot money double long HK market; Very bullish to Market.
Expectation Deflation -> Inflation Gold hits USD 1,300 in 2009 and USD2,000 in 24 months

Strategy
Long H-share, gold and commodity, Short USD/HKD.
Treynor-Black Model (2828 : ETF H-share) with portfolio monthly balancing

Trade Strategy
LONG 670 東航 speculate 2010 Expo
SWAP 2899 -> 1818, 2837
SHORT 3968

Focus
868 :commodity for auto industry.
2899 :explosion of Gold price in 2010 when inflation comes.
272 : appreciation of real estate.
2318 : huge growth potential.
2343 : cyclical stock - steady for recovery in 2010.
3968 : high growth bank in retail finance market.
2837 : Taiwan stock market from China's policy.

View :
Bullish with HSI target 24,000 in 2009
US floods with money, China follows so is the world !
Hot money double long HK market
Market is optimistic. Expectation Deflation -> Inflation

Strategy
Long H-share and commodity sector, Short USD/HKD.
Treynor-Black Model (2828 : ETF H-share) with portfolio monthly balancing

Trade Strategy
SWAP 2828 -> 2823 Mean Reversion
LONG 670 東航 speculate 2010 Expo
Streamline Philips Accounts stock for re-balancing.
SWAP 2899 -> 1818

Focus
868 :commodity for auto industry.
2899 :explosion of Gold price in 2010 when inflation comes.
272 : appreciation of real estate.
2318 : huge growth potential.
2343 : cyclical stock - steady for recovery in 2010.
3968 : high growth bank in retail finance market.
2837 : Taiwan stock market from China's policy.