view :
Bullish with HSI target 24,000 in 2009
US floods with money, China follows, so is the world !
Hot money double long HK market;
China's hot money starts pouring it. very bullish to HK asset market.
Expectation (Deflation -> Inflation) : Gold hits USD2,000 in 2011
Strategy
2009 : panic market -> focus on Beta.
2010 : normal market -> focus on Alpha.
Long H-share, gold and commodity, Short USD/HKD.
Speculate hot money target. Hong Kong real estate market.
Treynor-Black Model (anchor 2828 : ETF H-share) with portfolio monthly balancing
Trade Strategy
LONG 670 東航 speculate 2010 Expo
Focus
83 : 信和 for its focus on luxury apartment and its land reserves.
868 :commodity for auto industry.
2009/09/27 Chairman buy back at $5.03
2899, 1818 :explosion of Gold price in 2010 when inflation comes.
272 : P/B @1.2 vs industrial avg 2.0+
2318 : huge growth potential.
2343 : cyclical stock - steady for recovery in 2010.
2837 : Taiwan stock market from China's policy.
No comments:
Post a Comment